London: Global climate reports have shown that the world has remained on track for a catastrophic temperature rise of 2.6 degrees Celsius, as countries have not strengthened their climate pledges.
Fossil fuel emissions have also reached a record high, increasing the risk of dangerous global heating and extreme weather patterns.
According to the Climate Action Tracker update, new emission-cutting plans submitted for the Cop30 talks in Brazil have not achieved significant progress. The findings have indicated that global temperatures could increase by 2.6 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels by the end of this century, the same as last year’s forecast.
Experts have warned that this level of heating would breach the Paris Agreement limits and lead to severe disruptions such as droughts, floods, and agricultural collapse. Bill Hare, Chief Executive Officer of Climate Analytics, said that a world at 2.6 degrees Celsius would face major tipping points, including the loss of coral reefs and large-scale ice sheet deterioration.
A separate assessment from the Global Carbon Project has shown that fossil fuel emissions are expected to rise by about one percent in 2025, though the pace of growth has slowed compared to the previous decade. The expansion of renewable energy has started to balance the increase in global energy demand but has not yet overtaken it.
The world has already heated by approximately 1.3 degrees Celsius since the Industrial Revolution because of deforestation and fossil fuel combustion. Despite commitments made under the 2016 Paris Agreement, only around 100 countries have submitted updated national plans, and the reductions remain inadequate to prevent further temperature rise.
Scientists have also noted that weakened natural carbon sinks, such as tropical forests in Asia and South America, have begun releasing carbon instead of absorbing it. This shift has worsened the global climate outlook, with projections showing atmospheric CO₂ levels reaching 425 parts per million in 2025.
Environmental leaders have urged stronger global cooperation to transition away from fossil fuels and support sustainable energy investments. Experts have stated that while climate actions are showing impact, more rapid and decisive measures are essential to limit global temperature rise.
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